dfgar
0x57aacd75db8f1c89bcf1306e449e920a1ea58239
- Realised P&L
- $0.24
- Volume
- $489.68
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $97.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $97.56 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.29at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 24?
- +$0.20at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 29?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 11:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $98.00 |
| 08-02 11:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.90 |
| 07-30 11:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.80 |
| 07-25 11:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $97.70 |
| 07-18 10:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $97.40 |