0x57302064dFf25504EAb1b71567e3d54bd47D891E-1771050303665
0x57302064dff25504eab1b71567e3d54bd47d891e
- Realised P&L
- $-9.6k
- Volume
- $652.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,533
- Open portfolio
- $46.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,533
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.490 | 0.255 | $62.52 | −$57.61 |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 30? · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.37 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$259.35 |
| Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.585 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$999.02at 0.224Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on July 16?
- +$606.90at 0.422Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 16?
- +$579.99at 0.370Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 14?
- +$493.39at 0.712Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$433.19at 0.511Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:20 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.49 | $120.13 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Meta (META) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.5825710396 | $68.48 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.91 | $54.60 |
| 08-04 16:19 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-04 13:47 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.58 | $145.61 |
| 08-03 16:15 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.67 | $259.35 |
| 07-30 18:56 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $33.37 |
| 07-30 18:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 14:21 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $97.50 |
| 07-29 19:59 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 07-29 19:47 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.4848109394 | $95.00 |
| 07-29 19:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.32 | $55.00 |
| 07-29 19:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 07-29 19:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.62 |
| 07-29 18:54 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.3216451333 | $48.25 |