alsad333
0x56e30e4958555c14191277bbe47d06a40b279a51
- Realised P&L
- $-403.72
- Volume
- $60.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,446
- Open portfolio
- $105.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,446
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 9? · No | 0.740 | 0.655 | $65.50 | −$8.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.305 | $30.50 | −$10.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.095 | $9.50 | −$10.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.50at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$40.30at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$36.79at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$33.80at 0.155Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$30.40at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.302 | $12.08 |
| 08-06 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.22 | $13.20 |
| 08-06 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 08-06 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.21 | $12.60 |
| 08-06 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-06 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |