PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Lirakis

0x563537356f1325d63956c10b90cbd95c14d08f12

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$43.6k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1260.076$1.3k$809.68
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.655$87.33+$27.33
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0360.002$37.48$857.53
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.003$4.17$45.83
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$9.72
Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$9.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 10:25Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
06-27 20:54Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.05$1.00
05-21 13:39Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0499415071$383.52
05-19 22:48Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0299999994$50.00
05-19 21:20Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0300155674$500.00
05-19 21:19Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1325709555$1000.00
05-19 21:14Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1214240001$1000.00
05-19 15:47Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0165936762$1.50
05-19 15:45Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0179999983$10.00
05-19 12:45Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1067207629$40.00
05-19 12:44Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.449999997$60.00
05-19 12:44Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1050769993$20.00
05-18 21:10Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?SELL0.999$131.98
05-18 20:26Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?BUY0.9083196081$120.00
04-25 12:54Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?BUY0.1499999887$9.49