Lirakis
0x563537356f1325d63956c10b90cbd95c14d08f12
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $43.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.076 | $1.3k | −$809.68 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.655 | $87.33 | +$27.33 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.002 | $37.48 | −$857.53 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.003 | $4.17 | −$45.83 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.72 |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.98at 0.908Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 10:25 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 20:54 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 13:39 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0499415071 | $383.52 |
| 05-19 22:48 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $50.00 |
| 05-19 21:20 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0300155674 | $500.00 |
| 05-19 21:19 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1325709555 | $1000.00 |
| 05-19 21:14 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1214240001 | $1000.00 |
| 05-19 15:47 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0165936762 | $1.50 |
| 05-19 15:45 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 12:45 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1067207629 | $40.00 |
| 05-19 12:44 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.449999997 | $60.00 |
| 05-19 12:44 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1050769993 | $20.00 |
| 05-18 21:10 | Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? | SELL | 0.999 | $131.98 |
| 05-18 20:26 | Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? | BUY | 0.9083196081 | $120.00 |
| 04-25 12:54 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $9.49 |