adrianatortja
0x548043201fd2de464fb01e2bee9ccbfb73307f9a
- Realised P&L
- $4.52
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $1.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.11at 0.147Circle IPO in 2025?
- +$3.61at 0.810Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?
- +$1.04at 0.948Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?
- +$0.74at 0.869Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.948Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 18:16 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $33.44 |
| 06-20 11:51 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $33.60 |
| 06-19 15:17 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $32.93 |
| 06-19 11:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.64 | $37.12 |
| 06-19 10:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.64 | $37.12 |
| 06-18 18:42 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.935 | $33.66 |
| 06-18 15:58 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.936 | $33.70 |
| 06-18 08:48 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 06-17 16:59 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.942 | $32.97 |
| 05-26 19:26 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.89 |
| 05-26 02:03 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | SELL | 0.959 | $32.61 |
| 05-25 19:12 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.757 | $22.71 |
| 05-25 19:11 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BUY | 0.754 | $29.41 |
| 05-25 13:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $36.21 |
| 05-25 06:57 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | BUY | 0.958 | $36.40 |