Zamarc
0x53df538f0a4e5d95a478f9bd882cd80fb3a73cb4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $858.65 | +$0.86 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $699.40 | +$1.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $519.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $509.08 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.26at 0.984Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
- +$4.35at 0.988Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?
- +$2.49at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?
- +$1.33at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?
- +$1.22at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $519.00 |
| 08-05 07:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9988041558 | $510.00 |
| 08-05 07:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $698.00 |
| 08-05 07:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9989999996 | $857.79 |
| 07-31 14:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $399.58 |
| 07-31 09:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $402.00 |
| 07-31 08:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $332.00 |
| 07-31 08:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $520.00 |
| 07-31 08:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 07:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9927497163 | $341.00 |
| 07-31 07:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9879999976 | $358.00 |
| 07-29 12:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $665.00 |
| 07-29 12:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 03-06 10:15 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $54.54 |
| 03-06 10:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $44.00 |