PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8Ada7E7685A1E02283689ba69282170D45505F48-1775868036604

0x539208981505575e918b3beec64556a263765d1b

Realised P&L
$-211.18
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$3.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0390.015$3.70$6.30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00$170.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$10.00
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? · No0.3480.000$0.00$65.00
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists · Yes0.1170.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.0460.000$0.00$15.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde0.1790.000$0.00$15.00
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 · Over0.2180.000$0.00$10.00
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:44Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0649999971$20.00
07-19 18:05Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0719999938$10.00
07-19 16:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.409999999$150.00
07-18 22:48France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.0840000007$10.00
07-18 21:50France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.0240000002$5.00
07-18 21:37France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.1$16.67
07-18 21:36France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.1199999952$20.00
07-18 00:05Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?BUY0.3360967959$15.00
07-17 23:16Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?BUY0.3514327679$50.00
07-15 20:42England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2274999973$50.00
07-14 19:24France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.389999999$150.00
07-11 21:49Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3424999988$150.00
07-07 21:59Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0391958285$10.00
07-07 15:18Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.08$5.00
07-05 20:02Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.309999998$100.00