0x8Ada7E7685A1E02283689ba69282170D45505F48-1775868036604
0x539208981505575e918b3beec64556a263765d1b
- Realised P&L
- $-211.18
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $3.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.58at 0.310Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$169.78at 0.227England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$50.10at 0.444Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
- +$40.00at 0.350Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
- +$25.34at 0.612Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:44 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0649999971 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 18:05 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0719999938 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.409999999 | $150.00 |
| 07-18 22:48 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.0840000007 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 21:50 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.0240000002 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:37 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.1 | $16.67 |
| 07-18 21:36 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 00:05 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | BUY | 0.3360967959 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 23:16 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19? | BUY | 0.3514327679 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 20:42 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2274999973 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 19:24 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.389999999 | $150.00 |
| 07-11 21:49 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3424999988 | $150.00 |
| 07-07 21:59 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0391958285 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 15:18 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 20:02 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |