0x53763c82105dee3d492440634d14eb5da5e6ce3e
- Realised P&L
- $-7.56
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $141.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.35at 0.584Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$8.71at 0.630US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$7.05at 0.588MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$6.02at 0.690Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$5.15at 0.714Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.8899999848 | $1.76 |
| 08-05 22:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.8699999524 | $1.28 |
| 08-05 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.24 |
| 08-05 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7699998848 | $1.27 |
| 08-05 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.47 |
| 08-05 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7299999225 | $1.13 |
| 08-05 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.30 |
| 08-05 18:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999396 | $1.61 |
| 08-05 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.7199999481 | $1.11 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.46 |
| 08-05 18:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6599999795 | $1.29 |
| 08-05 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8199996205 | $1.21 |