0x527AbB700153BFa209e16b774daCF2084D7bEeD9-1772259543245
0x527abb700153bfa209e16b774dacf2084d7beed9
- Realised P&L
- $225.58
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $461.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.47at 0.646Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.51at 0.465England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$4.74at 0.840Will France win on 2026-07-04?
- +$3.70at 0.730Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$2.98at 0.767Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 11:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4799999967 | $52.00 |
| 07-30 11:34 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-17 19:09 | Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $25.00 |
| 07-17 19:08 | Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9566498121 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 19:06 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 19:04 | Israel election: will Likud lose seats? | BUY | 0.8299999977 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 19:03 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.494 | $150.87 |
| 07-16 10:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4570795205 | $17.38 |
| 07-16 10:51 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.09 | $13.50 |
| 07-16 10:50 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0357988927 | $38.82 |
| 07-16 10:49 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.417 | $20.43 |
| 07-16 10:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.02 |
| 07-15 05:28 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0348293709 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 05:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4189999835 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 05:25 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4649999826 | $10.00 |