NO-GOD-PLEASE-NO
0x5257aa84944804bbb0c718814ebebeeafaca3e2a
- Realised P&L
- $658.1k
- Volume
- $20.57M
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs · Team Liquid | 0.470 | 0.735 | $7.3k | +$2.6k |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs · Team Falcons | 0.431 | 0.265 | $3.9k | −$2.5k |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner · Team Falcons | 0.650 | 0.001 | $3.25 | −$4.2k |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.390 | 0.405 | $0.42 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.2kat 0.726Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
- +$252.1kat 0.359Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
- +$160.7kat 0.648Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$151.2kat 0.390Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$140.6kat 0.131Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:56 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.26 | $18.30 |
| 08-05 19:51 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.39 | $883.39 |
| 08-05 19:01 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $4.7k |
| 08-05 18:21 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.7817554859 | $339.16 |
| 08-05 18:20 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.72 | $197.28 |
| 08-03 20:28 | National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet | BUY | 0.52 | $1.1k |
| 08-03 20:19 | National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee | BUY | 0.7535947879 | $1.2k |
| 08-03 20:17 | National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee | BUY | 0.795845867 | $1.0k |
| 07-19 21:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.605 | $18.6k |
| 07-19 21:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6782461354 | $1.7k |
| 07-19 21:29 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6875 | $2.2k |
| 07-19 21:26 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6697747883 | $21.4k |
| 07-19 21:25 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6767538868 | $1.0k |
| 07-19 21:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7013241525 | $1.3k |
| 07-19 21:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7013804239 | $24.2k |