tyuqq
0x51d40bf70ec325f1af383275ea53ce4a232c87c6
- Realised P&L
- $-6.25
- Volume
- $18.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $105.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $54.68 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $25.77 | −$0.01 |
| Will Solana dip to $55 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $25.02 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.31at 0.997Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
- +$0.30at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$0.26at 0.997Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$0.18at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
- +$0.17at 0.995Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 07:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.78 |
| 08-06 07:41 | Will Solana dip to $55 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 07:30 | Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.65 |
| 07-22 12:53 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $46.05 |
| 07-22 12:49 | Will XRP reach $1.70 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9989999883 | $59.25 |
| 06-19 12:08 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.20 |
| 06-19 12:06 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on June 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.98 |
| 05-22 13:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.06 |
| 05-22 13:07 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.30 |
| 05-22 13:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.9989999687 | $31.00 |
| 05-22 13:03 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.71 |
| 04-07 12:36 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.77 |
| 04-07 12:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $58.96 |
| 03-17 09:01 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in March? | BUY | 0.9949999976 | $33.27 |
| 03-17 08:59 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.27 |