hyy2719
0x51c88810d16ceca81b95ea73e41e72461c8263f4
- Realised P&L
- $-5.35
- Volume
- $376.46
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $6.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.963 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.984 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.857 | $1.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.975 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down | 0.285 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$0.59at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$0.53at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
- +$0.40at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$0.28at 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 23:49 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9739999922 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 12:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 09:04 | Amazon 2026 capex above $170B? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 02:16 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.993 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 01:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9769999331 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 02:04 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9479999924 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 08:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 11:22 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9549999952 | $2.00 |
| 06-09 01:33 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | BUY | 0.9869997202 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 12:14 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.9819999234 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 01:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 12:35 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.9719995801 | $2.00 |
| 05-28 08:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.9889998383 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 01:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 14:45 | Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969995269 | $2.00 |