0x51bf5269FAe3183B0ffa2c3Cbc601d8e104601Cb-1773154997504
0x51bf5269fae3183b0ffa2c3cbc601d8e104601cb
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $167.7k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $21.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$715.70at 0.279Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 9-15?
- +$676.06at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$549.73at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$434.94at 0.138Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
- +$279.88at 0.600US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 13:13 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.4199999993 | $214.02 |
| 04-12 20:08 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.1419999992 | $150.00 |
| 04-12 20:08 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 04-12 20:05 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0281396004 | $50.00 |
| 04-10 22:21 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 04-10 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.4020597696 | $137.50 |
| 04-10 11:41 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0966191258 | $72.29 |
| 04-10 10:45 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0245648933 | $16.63 |
| 04-09 15:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $411.27 |
| 04-09 14:51 | Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | SELL | 0.999 | $339.98 |
| 04-09 14:03 | Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | BUY | 0.9579757007 | $325.61 |
| 04-09 09:17 | Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.055 | $165.00 |
| 04-08 14:09 | Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 04-08 11:39 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8? | BUY | 0.987015246 | $498.49 |
| 04-08 09:43 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.059 | $59.00 |