ortalod
0x51ac6dadf894ecc4a443b92629ce67c3163d5fea
- Realised P&L
- $-262.92
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $36.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.08at 0.443Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$8.29at 0.457US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$6.97at 0.449Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$1.71at 0.736Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$1.68at 0.540Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.168863124 | $22.28 |
| 07-28 23:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.707 | $23.45 |
| 07-27 19:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.4569999908 | $15.16 |
| 07-27 17:41 | Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $15.63 |
| 07-27 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.2883855118 | $14.29 |
| 07-27 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.0223868594 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 15:12 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | SELL | 0.35 | $25.29 |
| 07-25 23:07 | CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999946 | $39.27 |
| 07-25 21:27 | Independiente Medellín vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 19:00 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.2822384396 | $40.00 |
| 07-24 15:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.37628197 | $25.20 |
| 07-24 15:42 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | SELL | 0.0094999 | $4.75 |
| 07-24 15:01 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.3899999962 | $40.00 |
| 07-24 14:35 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | SELL | 0.61 | $14.68 |
| 07-24 14:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.70 |