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Traders

ortalod

0x51ac6dadf894ecc4a443b92629ce67c3163d5fea

Realised P&L
$-262.92
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$36.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.2000.160$15.83$3.96
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat? · No0.0700.065$13.93$1.07
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · Yes0.0870.016$6.81$30.19
CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6200.000$0.00$39.27
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$22.28
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28? · Yes0.2880.000$0.00$14.29
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$19.60
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4990.000$0.00$8.77
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$15.00
Iran full airspace closure by July 31? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$40.00
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$18.00
Independiente Medellín vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5 · Under0.7300.000$0.00$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 28? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Israel closes its airspace by July 31? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$20.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.3760.000$0.00$25.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 23:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?BUY0.168863124$22.28
07-28 23:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.707$23.45
07-27 19:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.4569999908$15.16
07-27 17:41Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?SELL0.05$15.63
07-27 15:18Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 28?BUY0.2883855118$14.29
07-27 15:13Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 28?BUY0.0223868594$10.00
07-27 15:12Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?SELL0.35$25.29
07-25 23:07CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5BUY0.6199999946$39.27
07-25 21:27Independiente Medellín vs. AD Pasto: O/U 3.5BUY0.7299999974$20.00
07-25 19:00Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?BUY0.2822384396$40.00
07-24 15:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.37628197$25.20
07-24 15:42Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?SELL0.0094999$4.75
07-24 15:01Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.3899999962$40.00
07-24 14:35Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?SELL0.61$14.68
07-24 14:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.82$16.70
Trader ortalod · PolyBot