0x5083b6b943125247a8725349cd9455deb64efd32
- Realised P&L
- $23.32
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $107.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.740 | 0.695 | $77.59 | −$5.04 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? · No | 0.610 | 0.205 | $29.38 | −$58.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.27at 0.490US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$61.56at 0.598Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$43.00at 0.540Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$38.30at 0.370Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
- +$37.59at 0.650Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7399999987 | $82.63 |
| 08-01 13:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in August? | BUY | 0.609999999 | $87.42 |
| 07-22 13:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | SELL | 0.73 | $98.73 |
| 07-21 14:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | BUY | 0.6 | $81.15 |
| 07-17 13:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.77 | $165.67 |
| 07-02 14:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.64 | $137.70 |
| 06-24 10:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | SELL | 0.88 | $143.82 |
| 06-21 19:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.6499999988 | $106.23 |
| 05-17 01:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | SELL | 0.5818503289 | $113.20 |
| 05-06 17:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | BUY | 0.439999999 | $85.61 |
| 04-06 14:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April? | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $82.39 |
| 04-03 12:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | SELL | 0.8512866326 | $180.10 |
| 04-02 18:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $142.64 |
| 04-02 05:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $153.57 |
| 03-31 14:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.5399999998 | $106.78 |