rftdjhdrr
0x503dd287df8717fc43268105ee85a89fa99f3602
- Realised P&L
- $38.32
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.9k | +$0.96 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.4k | +$0.69 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $73.27 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.88at 0.840Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
- +$3.37at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6?
- +$1.32at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 6?
- +$1.32at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on December 5?
- +$1.32at 0.999Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 02:55 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 08-08 02:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 08-08 02:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.24 |
| 06-08 08:54 | Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $47.60 |
| 03-21 10:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.99 |
| 03-21 03:14 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | SELL | 0.8533981855 | $1.1k |
| 12-08 01:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.03 |
| 12-07 01:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $514.49 |
| 12-07 01:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $807.19 |
| 12-06 01:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 12-05 01:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on December 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 12-04 01:39 | Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on December 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 12-03 01:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 12-02 01:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |
| 12-01 07:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.3k |