0x500e72B462E4FC52f0c733b337c0646EcF71da73-1780979860488
0x500e72b462e4fc52f0c733b337c0646ecf71da73
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $119.5k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $329.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEIN IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.918 | 0.935 | $211.79 | +$3.95 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.966 | $116.91 | +$0.73 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.143 | 0.105 | $0.74 | −$0.27 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? · Up | 0.911 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.430Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$895.08at 0.756Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$392.90at 0.630Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$377.37at 0.180Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
- +$354.15at 0.609Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.8817132162 | $10.64 |
| 08-06 12:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9001879511 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9100801257 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.916334661 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9092725818 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.902956935 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9283290074 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.8884983386 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9313477779 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9201925871 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9199999915 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.9192645843 | $100.00 |