dauq149lieuhien84
0x4ffa081c01cff9692ff0925e14c37f35718b3337
- Realised P&L
- $666.90
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $13.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $13.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$667.26at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2AM ET
- +$211.00at 0.500Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on April 1?
- +$1.25at 0.992Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$0.12at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 03:14 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.97 |
| 06-18 09:36 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.92 |
| 05-28 07:34 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.92 |
| 05-14 09:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.60 |
| 05-08 08:15 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.87 |
| 04-29 10:12 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.96 |
| 04-28 07:10 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $6.59 |
| 04-27 09:41 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.30 |
| 04-14 05:42 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.60 |
| 04-10 09:22 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.015 | $9.30 |
| 04-09 03:56 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.01 |
| 04-01 05:02 | Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 03-14 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $636.47 |
| 03-13 04:44 | Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.994 | $619.26 |
| 03-12 11:08 | Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.992 | $591.23 |