melatiwon
0x4fe27addf1b06ed68291b9c2d749bef0453a0781
- Realised P&L
- $10.44
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $43.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $19.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $11.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Solana reach $140 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.994 | $11.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.78at 0.870Will Solana hit $275 by February 28 2025?
- +$2.48at 0.939Will Solana hit $210 in March?
- +$0.93at 0.978Will Solana reach $300 in May?
- +$0.84at 0.950Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$0.79at 0.980Will Solana reach $190 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:49 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 09:48 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 09:48 | Will Solana reach $140 in August? | BUY | 0.9963664718 | $12.00 |
| 08-03 09:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.945 | $12.99 |
| 07-29 03:10 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9449999753 | $13.00 |
| 07-29 03:10 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-29 03:09 | Will XRP reach $1.40 in July? | BUY | 0.9969999769 | $20.00 |
| 06-09 02:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $16.00 |
| 06-09 02:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $14.00 |
| 06-09 02:27 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 06-09 02:26 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.01 |
| 06-09 02:26 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.05 |
| 05-12 07:32 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.50 |
| 05-12 07:29 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.00 |
| 05-12 07:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.9939999442 | $11.00 |