PolyBot

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Traders

grunix

0x4f8cb61637b3bbfd6305db6e4b5807d10882f8bd

Realised P&L
$38.03
Volume
$66.5k
Markets traded
1,186
Open portfolio
$517.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,186
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5) · Los Angeles Sparks0.4820.475$226.46$3.54
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5) · New York Liberty0.4560.435$76.29$3.71
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 184.5 · Over0.4600.445$38.70$1.30
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5) · Phoenix Mercury0.4720.445$37.69$2.31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1600.060$37.50$62.50
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5) · New York Liberty0.4700.475$20.21+$0.21
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 188.5 · Over0.4700.455$19.37$0.63
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream · Atlanta Dream0.6800.695$10.22+$0.22
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5 · Over0.4700.475$10.11+$0.11
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5 · Under0.4800.475$9.90$0.10
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5 · Under0.4100.405$9.88$0.12
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream · Phoenix Mercury0.3500.305$8.71$1.29
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5 · Under0.4400.435$4.79$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Down0.6800.000$0.00$5.00
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Michael Zheng · Michael Zheng0.8500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 18:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.9699999981$10.00
08-05 18:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.95$10.00
08-05 18:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETSELL0.44$25.58
08-05 18:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETBUY0.8599999986$50.00
08-05 18:39Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5BUY0.4799999827$10.00
08-05 18:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.9499999971$50.00
08-05 18:29Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.85$29.92
08-05 18:29Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.8254432132$29.40
08-05 18:29Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.7878648626$29.52
08-05 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.8500424503$159.96
08-05 18:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00
08-05 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.92$50.00
08-05 18:06Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5)BUY0.4699999915$10.00
08-05 18:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.85$2.57
08-05 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00