Osienn
0x4f51bd37e0674d7194ed9a310dc19322822d695c
- Realised P&L
- $141.1k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.1k | −$0.56 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.999 | $999.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $399.40 | +$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.1kat 0.343Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.83at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?
- +$2.75at 0.950Will Ethereum reach $6000 in September?
- +$1.03at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$0.89at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 08-05 07:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 08-05 07:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9989999985 | $399.00 |
| 08-04 10:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999988 | $461.00 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999995 | $673.00 |
| 07-29 09:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $888.00 |
| 07-29 09:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $280.00 |
| 07-29 09:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.00 |
| 03-12 09:32 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9969999871 | $75.00 |
| 03-12 09:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 03-12 09:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $56.00 |
| 03-12 09:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 03-12 09:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9959999887 | $53.00 |
| 02-17 09:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BUY | 0.998 | $60.70 |