1bet
0x4f2fe287e865ab8e6edad9aab8a33a88162eb83d
- Realised P&L
- $259.56
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $500.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $500.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.27at 0.930Will Ethereum close above $2200 on July 31?
- +$49.45at 0.910Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?
- +$25.05at 0.583Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$24.76at 0.953Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?
- +$22.67at 0.150Bitcoin all time high day after election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $900 in August? | BUY | 0.9959999983 | $500.00 |
| 07-09 05:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9922706401 | $1000.00 |
| 06-28 06:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | BUY | 0.9949999956 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 20:30 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.992077923 | $1000.00 |
| 05-02 07:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May? | BUY | 0.9919999991 | $1000.00 |
| 04-03 10:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | BUY | 0.92 | $49.42 |
| 03-02 12:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.969999999 | $500.00 |
| 03-02 12:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? | BUY | 0.9099999988 | $500.00 |
| 02-26 19:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February? | BUY | 0.998 | $500.00 |
| 02-18 10:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 10:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | SELL | 0.9110772547 | $103.54 |
| 02-01 22:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February? | BUY | 0.9528094381 | $500.00 |
| 02-01 22:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | BUY | 0.879845692 | $100.00 |
| 02-01 06:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 06:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? | BUY | 0.8299999701 | $20.00 |