steriohyperion
0x4f238e691e65dab900207cbc2e1577d91de0f9d9
- Realised P&L
- $-139.12
- Volume
- $69.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,434
- Open portfolio
- $1.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,434
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.235 | $1.03 | −$1.16 |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.090 | $0.78 | −$3.55 |
| Exact Score: PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara 0 - 2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
| Exact Score: Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Atlas FC? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.70at 0.047Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
- +$271.25at 0.103Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
- +$106.23at 0.124Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
- +$67.87at 0.820Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
- +$66.90at 0.730Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 20:05 | Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-09? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 20:05 | Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-09? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.94 |
| 08-08 20:05 | Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-08-08? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.99 |
| 08-08 20:05 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 08-08 17:14 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 09:52 | Exact Score: PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara 0 - 2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.99 |
| 08-08 06:44 | Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.99 |
| 08-08 04:17 | Exact Score: Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo 1 - 2 Tokushima Vortis? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.99 |
| 08-07 22:31 | Exact Score: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3 - 0 FC Juárez? | BUY | 0.925 | $4.97 |
| 08-07 22:31 | Will FC Alverca win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 17:34 | Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.99 |
| 08-07 17:34 | Exact Score: Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Atlas FC? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.99 |
| 08-07 17:32 | Exact Score: VfL Bochum 2 - 2 Hertha BSC? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.99 |
| 08-07 17:32 | Exact Score: VfL Bochum 1 - 2 Hertha BSC? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 22:56 | Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 1 - 2 Philadelphia Union? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |