PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MurphyMilest

0x4ef359c9284440da5cc5bd9f264b36e29a1a70d8

Realised P&L
$-121.52
Volume
$378.72
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$25.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-32.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · No0.8700.865$11.93$0.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · No0.6900.685$8.44$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.6300.535$5.39$0.96
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev · Joao Fonseca0.4100.000$0.00$103.91
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)? · No0.9400.000$0.00$3.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9000.000$0.00$11.00
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 25? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25? · Yes0.6190.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:42Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.6899999821$8.50
08-04 08:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.6299999683$6.35
08-04 08:41Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.87$12.00
07-05 08:37Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersBUY0.85$6.00
07-05 08:37Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersBUY0.75$5.00
07-05 08:37Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5BUY0.8099999851$8.70
07-05 08:37Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5BUY0.9$11.00
06-25 09:19Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?BUY0.8199999836$5.00
06-25 09:18Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 25?BUY0.829999982$6.00
06-25 09:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25?BUY0.6189999118$2.00
05-14 10:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.997999758$4.00
04-10 00:24Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.41$102.04
03-09 13:53Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 3% and 4%?BUY0.996$2.02
03-09 13:53Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.936$2.00
02-27 09:30US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?BUY0.9599999226$4.96