facail
0x4e02d38b64f536b0a673181f7611ffa7200f45e1
- Realised P&L
- $-10.00
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $151.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $56.30 | −$0.03 |
| Will XRP reach $1.50 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.992 | $52.79 | −$0.40 |
| Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $42.35 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.50at 0.970Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
- +$0.31at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.27at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
- +$0.20at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:44 | Will XRP reach $1.50 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.19 |
| 08-06 12:44 | Will Solana reach $110 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.9989999852 | $42.33 |
| 08-06 12:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $56.33 |
| 07-03 13:24 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $37.03 |
| 07-03 13:23 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.69 |
| 07-03 13:22 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.20 |
| 07-03 13:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $68.62 |
| 06-04 13:30 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.00 |
| 06-04 13:30 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999852 | $38.00 |
| 06-04 13:27 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.00 |
| 06-04 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999834 | $40.11 |
| 05-09 12:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $91.25 |
| 05-09 12:47 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999945 | $59.30 |
| 04-05 08:27 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on April 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $37.23 |
| 04-05 08:26 | Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 6? | BUY | 0.9989999747 | $37.99 |