0x4DD43040a60E0d07C8bdC977BC117C06F855979E-1769396951743
0x4dd43040a60e0d07c8bdc977bc117c06f855979e
- Realised P&L
- $-11.63
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $9.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.120Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
- +$2.32at 0.220Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
- +$2.30at 0.082Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$1.79at 0.113Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
- +$1.59at 0.170Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:22 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1379998965 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 14:19 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.92 |
| 08-02 00:22 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 12:33 | Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1509998845 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.11 |
| 08-01 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:57 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.4129998439 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:57 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 02:55 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 02:55 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 02:54 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:07 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 22:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.755 | $1.23 |