PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4DD43040a60E0d07C8bdC977BC117C06F855979E-1769396951743

0x4dd43040a60e0d07c8bdc977bc117c06f855979e

Realised P&L
$-11.63
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$9.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:22Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.1379998965$1.00
08-02 14:19Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.11$0.92
08-02 00:22Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-01 23:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.78$1.00
08-01 23:57Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
08-01 12:33Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?BUY0.1509998845$1.00
08-01 03:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSELL0.98$1.11
08-01 03:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.8799999648$1.00
07-31 21:57Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.4129998439$1.00
07-31 21:57Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.74$1.00
07-31 02:55Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.65$1.00
07-31 02:55Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
07-31 02:54Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.719999856$1.00
07-30 22:07Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-30 22:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.755$1.23