PolyBot

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Traders

2341341324

0x4db53934f208923db617ac2cb3f992122a0d8238

Realised P&L
$-77.91
Volume
$32.7k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$175.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No0.9980.998$175.56$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 13:52Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9?BUY0.998$175.65
07-02 11:07Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?BUY0.99$176.00
06-15 11:37Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?BUY0.9939999944$175.00
06-08 11:50Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14?BUY0.999$175.00
06-02 11:53Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7?BUY0.997$174.00
05-25 13:34Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?BUY0.998$173.65
05-19 10:49Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?BUY0.999$174.03
05-08 11:33Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?BUY0.999$172.83
04-19 12:41Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?BUY0.999$172.80
04-19 12:38Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?SELL0.99$173.09
04-12 10:48Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?BUY0.988$172.60
04-12 10:44Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.982$98.20
04-03 10:35Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.985$98.50
03-25 01:28Thunder vs. CelticsBUY0.6$100.00
03-25 01:23Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.982$98.20