2341341324
0x4db53934f208923db617ac2cb3f992122a0d8238
- Realised P&L
- $-77.91
- Volume
- $32.7k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $175.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $175.56 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.91at 0.865Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$2.00at 0.041Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$1.40at 0.993US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
- +$1.00at 0.987No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $175.65 |
| 07-02 11:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $176.00 |
| 06-15 11:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | BUY | 0.9939999944 | $175.00 |
| 06-08 11:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? | BUY | 0.999 | $175.00 |
| 06-02 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.997 | $174.00 |
| 05-25 13:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $173.65 |
| 05-19 10:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $174.03 |
| 05-08 11:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.999 | $172.83 |
| 04-19 12:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $172.80 |
| 04-19 12:38 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? | SELL | 0.99 | $173.09 |
| 04-12 10:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? | BUY | 0.988 | $172.60 |
| 04-12 10:44 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.982 | $98.20 |
| 04-03 10:35 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.985 | $98.50 |
| 03-25 01:28 | Thunder vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 03-25 01:23 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.982 | $98.20 |