DarkPavaow
0x4d78526094ba3bb623ee9a88072321344aeef480
- Realised P&L
- $64.21
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $33.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.43at 0.231Will Trump say "Fraud" in his speech after the election is called?
- +$42.96at 0.110Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
- +$27.62at 0.420Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$24.54at 0.220Aspinall vs. Gane
- +$21.93at 0.310Ankalaev vs. Pereira
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 18:45 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5625 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 18:44 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 14:47 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 14:47 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 14:46 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 20:59 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 20:58 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999918 | $2.00 |
| 06-10 20:57 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 06-10 20:57 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999955 | $4.00 |
| 06-01 08:59 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.6398335427 | $20.37 |
| 05-30 16:13 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 15:52 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $15.00 |
| 05-30 15:52 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 05-28 21:25 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1569999773 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 21:23 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |