baileysclub
0x4d5c0683dd4e6a41e0bb3a54e5283462b36ed8f2
- Realised P&L
- $33.3k
- Volume
- $622.7k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $272.12
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi · Nuno Borges | 0.620 | 0.625 | $154.37 | +$1.23 |
| National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi · Luciano Darderi | 0.385 | 0.375 | $117.75 | −$3.15 |
| National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$172.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.497France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$7.9kat 0.461Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$6.5kat 0.553Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$5.8kat 0.725Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$5.7kat 0.632Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 15:33 | National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.38 | $59.28 |
| 08-08 15:07 | National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.39 | $61.62 |
| 08-08 13:41 | National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi | BUY | 0.62 | $153.13 |
| 08-07 19:57 | National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.12 | $16.68 |
| 08-07 18:33 | National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.27 | $37.53 |
| 08-07 18:32 | National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz | BUY | 0.64 | $172.80 |
| 08-05 21:40 | National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor | BUY | 0.8699514701 | $2.0k |
| 08-05 21:37 | National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor | BUY | 0.74 | $4.7k |
| 08-03 20:21 | National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee | BUY | 0.8 | $4.2k |
| 08-02 13:03 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.25 | $793.50 |
| 08-02 11:13 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.54 | $1.3k |
| 07-26 15:23 | Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.83 | $5.6k |
| 07-25 18:54 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.58 | $3.7k |
| 07-25 18:09 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.74 | $777.00 |
| 07-25 18:09 | Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.74 | $1.6k |