0x4c2697e8f894e15144efcb5b0589f9c2778e3ce6
- Realised P&L
- $-193.65
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 960
- Open portfolio
- $2.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded960
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $2.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Club ABB win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$9.96 |
| Will Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Union Espanola win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Cusco FC win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will CD Comerciantes Unidos vs. Cusco FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.669 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.99at 0.641Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$22.87at 0.940Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
- +$21.10at 0.600Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-08-07?
- +$16.76at 0.864Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?
- +$16.31at 0.470Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 03:16 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 03:14 | Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.91 |
| 08-08 02:46 | Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6031614232 | $13.23 |
| 08-08 01:39 | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.62 |
| 08-08 01:38 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.93 |
| 08-08 01:23 | Will Charlotte FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 01:22 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.829999997 | $8.33 |
| 08-08 00:52 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 00:49 | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.2243901689 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 00:32 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.13 |
| 08-08 00:32 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-07? | SELL | 0.26 | $15.00 |
| 08-08 00:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $1.02 |
| 08-08 00:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 00:29 | Will Columbus Crew vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.46 |
| 08-08 00:22 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $2.01 |