KairoNexus
0x4bf350d8d6fc4de0bd482ad82b71ebe60245369d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $122.5k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.86at 0.709Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?
- +$248.14at 0.826Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
- +$165.79at 0.819Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$159.92at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?
- +$124.12at 0.733Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 08-04 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7667894112 | $45.19 |
| 08-04 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $202.40 |
| 08-04 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9192248062 | $237.16 |
| 08-04 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8684311766 | $139.05 |
| 08-04 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.7068571429 | $98.96 |
| 08-03 15:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8169410496 | $113.64 |
| 08-03 13:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.77 | $46.42 |
| 08-03 13:41 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.992 | $220.91 |
| 08-03 12:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $97.20 |
| 08-03 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8304602703 | $198.47 |
| 08-03 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.85 | $113.05 |
| 08-03 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.84 | $6.98 |
| 08-03 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $197.03 |