PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KairoNexus

0x4bf350d8d6fc4de0bd482ad82b71ebe60245369d

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$122.5k
Markets traded
235
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded235
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 05:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.79$3.95
08-04 05:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.7667894112$45.19
08-04 05:58Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on August 4?BUY0.92$202.40
08-04 05:57Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.9192248062$237.16
08-04 05:54Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.8684311766$139.05
08-04 05:53Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.7068571429$98.96
08-03 15:12Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.9$9.00
08-03 15:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.8169410496$113.64
08-03 13:43Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.77$46.42
08-03 13:41Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.992$220.91
08-03 12:33Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 4?BUY0.9$97.20
08-03 11:42Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.8304602703$198.47
08-03 05:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.85$113.05
08-03 05:04Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.84$6.98
08-03 05:03Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.87$197.03