PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NeMorgai

0x4b56831cd5d4345342a05369916140bb743f07d8

Realised P&L
$-167.78
Volume
$15.2k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$792.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3560.265$555.50$192.40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.405$101.25$13.75
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2590.195$60.43$19.75
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes0.0600.045$22.50$7.50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August? · Yes0.0920.105$16.80+$2.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August? · Yes0.1000.100$10.00+$0.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0970.036$9.41$15.59
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0150.015$9.27+$0.29
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August? · Yes0.0500.036$7.20$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.097$25.00
08-01 13:43Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.299$59.80
07-30 20:24US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.009$2.68
07-29 05:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.003$4.18
07-29 05:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.42$42.00
07-27 18:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.005$6.97
07-27 16:57US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.021$6.30
07-27 16:16US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELL0.89$44.50
07-27 15:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
07-27 15:59US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.46$32.20
07-27 15:48US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.06$12.00
07-26 14:33US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.46$82.80
07-26 07:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4$40.00
07-26 07:00Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.369$560.88
07-26 06:43Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.09$9.31