NeMorgai
0x4b56831cd5d4345342a05369916140bb743f07d8
- Realised P&L
- $-167.78
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $792.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.265 | $555.50 | −$192.40 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.405 | $101.25 | −$13.75 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.195 | $60.43 | −$19.75 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $22.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.105 | $16.80 | +$2.00 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in August? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.100 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.036 | $9.41 | −$15.59 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.015 | $9.27 | +$0.29 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.036 | $7.20 | −$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.49at 0.290Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
- +$35.56at 0.771Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$24.00at 0.410US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$22.79at 0.250Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?
- +$22.00at 0.890Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.097 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 13:43 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.299 | $59.80 |
| 07-30 20:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.68 |
| 07-29 05:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $4.18 |
| 07-29 05:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 07-27 18:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $6.97 |
| 07-27 16:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $6.30 |
| 07-27 16:16 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 07-27 15:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 15:59 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $32.20 |
| 07-27 15:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 07-26 14:33 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $82.80 |
| 07-26 07:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 07-26 07:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.369 | $560.88 |
| 07-26 06:43 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.31 |