0x4aa478bda84109ffd0d198a43ad6870b61a68f20
- Realised P&L
- $-2.22
- Volume
- $23.68
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $4.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.540 | $2.45 | +$1.45 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.850 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.490 | 0.245 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.280 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.260 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.240 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.440Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 16:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:34 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:09 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 00:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 05:05 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:03 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 12:59 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |