purple888
0x4aa176b8206886a25fff58d2df77a0ca78ec596c
- Realised P&L
- $220.16
- Volume
- $64.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,033
- Open portfolio
- $29.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,033
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$275.61at 0.038Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?
- +$210.45at 0.238Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 20?
- +$176.29at 0.147Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 28?
- +$162.66at 0.153Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?
- +$125.00at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on February 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.819 | $24.57 |
| 08-06 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.068 | $0.34 |
| 08-04 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.183 | $3.66 |
| 08-02 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.215685 | $4.31 |
| 08-02 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 08-02 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.0795 | $3.18 |
| 08-01 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.3284033613 | $3.91 |
| 07-30 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.99 |
| 07-30 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 07-29 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 07-29 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.1966666667 | $2.95 |
| 07-29 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 07-28 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.70 |
| 07-27 21:17 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.29 | $6.38 |