Angel4
0x4a864f778e7bc4d87b7fd7c2142faaa3f4ba2f8d
- Realised P&L
- $-32.95
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $8.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 9? · Yes | 0.294 | 0.250 | $8.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? · Yes | 0.571 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump’s remarks not air? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.461Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7?
- +$0.52at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4?
- +$-0.03at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?
- +$-0.36at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?
- +$-1.71at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.2941176471 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.2774196721 | $16.92 |
| 08-07 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.3791803279 | $23.13 |
| 08-07 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.53 | $24.14 |
| 08-06 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.97 |
| 08-06 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.33 |
| 08-06 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0094417116 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:29 | Will Trump’s remarks not air? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.3711389522 | $16.29 |
| 08-05 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |