0x4a80206AABD7f7b5947eabcb914D0C1A449FE1Ee-1782670400784
0x4a80206aabd7f7b5947eabcb914d0c1a449fe1ee
- Realised P&L
- $735.49
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$174.64at 0.562Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$163.23at 0.690Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
- +$87.90at 0.333Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$42.47at 0.619Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
- +$9.48at 0.077Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:58 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3528750888 | $320.37 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.6578093988 | $77.77 |
| 08-02 15:25 | Will CJ Abrams lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.6639999982 | $71.41 |
| 07-30 16:46 | Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.937 | $5.62 |
| 07-30 16:43 | Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.58 |
| 07-30 16:37 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.038 | $22.17 |
| 07-30 16:22 | Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.67 | $674.81 |
| 07-30 13:17 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $9.83 |
| 07-30 13:17 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $17.50 |
| 07-30 13:06 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.4970359969 | $266.35 |
| 07-30 12:34 | Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.0189999932 | $2.78 |
| 07-25 02:37 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.728 | $0.28 |
| 07-25 00:27 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.728 | $728.73 |
| 07-24 13:39 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 07-22 19:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.0689101632 | $37.90 |