0x4a5a776940740e74c8cca91a4517dd6bce1db6c6
- Realised P&L
- $-955.45
- Volume
- $48.6k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $150.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$257.43at 0.338Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?
- +$183.85at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$141.58at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
- +$131.23at 0.731Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 13?
- +$125.23at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5099999921 | $19.42 |
| 08-07 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5199999957 | $19.43 |
| 08-07 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.4513097577 | $27.57 |
| 08-07 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3799999954 | $27.99 |
| 08-07 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6499999976 | $27.38 |
| 08-07 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $28.10 |
| 08-07 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6199999983 | $29.29 |
| 08-07 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4657158617 | $20.35 |
| 08-07 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.64999999 | $19.55 |
| 08-06 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6988630461 | $78.43 |
| 08-06 09:39 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.743074119 | $81.54 |
| 08-06 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.2819197514 | $20.87 |
| 08-06 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.08 |
| 08-06 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-06 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.3990326912 | $28.01 |