piazzeus
0x4a3aeeb7e8fe556a8c2d319348ef8e50b203af71
- Realised P&L
- $-668.95
- Volume
- $169.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,023
- Open portfolio
- $39.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,023
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
- +$42.64at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
- +$25.78at 0.100Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 26?
- +$18.96at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?
- +$18.89at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-08 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 08-08 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-08 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.37 |
| 08-08 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-08 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 08-08 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.22 |
| 08-08 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.28 |
| 08-08 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-08 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-08 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.34 |
| 08-08 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.78 |
| 08-08 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 08-07 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.84 |
| 08-07 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.26 | $0.85 |