Bonduk
0x49911a9ebf3d2afe919906d0b1a3faaed59d481d
- Realised P&L
- $-603.78
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 4,084
- Open portfolio
- $6.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,084
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.940 | 0.957 | $6.10 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11? · No | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 12? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 18? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 12? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 12? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.73at 0.382Sarasota: Strong Kirchheimer vs Thomas Faurel
- +$41.28at 0.130LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
- +$30.35at 0.395Monza: Marco Cecchinato vs Sandro Kopp
- +$23.00at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 12?
- +$16.20at 0.400Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Tagger
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1099999766 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.06 |
| 07-16 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.93 |
| 07-16 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.06 |
| 07-12 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.82 |
| 07-12 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.16 |
| 07-12 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 12? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 07-12 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.48 |