zzzhonkshoozzz
0x4906da8c9b29714a48e274fcc91f976aab4dd2fd
- Realised P&L
- $20.12
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $322.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.955 | $99.80 | +$0.54 |
| Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes | 0.940 | 1.000 | $71.81 | +$4.31 |
| Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · Yes | 0.960 | 1.000 | $52.00 | +$2.08 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · No | 0.972 | 0.977 | $49.80 | +$0.23 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $49.55 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.30at 0.910Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$2.70at 0.944Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
- +$2.12at 0.908Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
- +$1.89at 0.951Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.57at 0.940Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:06 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.94 | $67.50 |
| 05-29 07:08 | Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $49.44 |
| 04-10 12:52 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.9079999583 | $20.90 |