0x48c2903a03002d772003592603f372b72fc38eac
- Realised P&L
- $-0.75
- Volume
- $27.19
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $10.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.625 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 1.000 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.992 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.730 | 0.750 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.230 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.325 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.235 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.375 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.00at 0.502Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510Another pandemic before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:23 | Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 02:22 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 18:14 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 10:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 09:59 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 01:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:18 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4789999047 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 00:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 00:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 02:36 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999699 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 18:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 10:33 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |