PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x48c2903a03002d772003592603f372b72fc38eac

Realised P&L
$-0.75
Volume
$27.19
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$10.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5390.625$2.32+$0.32
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6101.000$1.64+$0.64
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.7500.992$1.32+$0.32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7701.000$1.30+$0.30
Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.7300.750$1.03+$0.03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2500.230$0.92$0.08
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.4700.325$0.69$0.31
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.4200.235$0.56$0.44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.375$0.50$0.50
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.4790.003$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 10:23Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-04 02:22Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-03 18:14Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
08-03 10:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
08-03 09:59Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-03 01:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-02 17:18Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4789999047$1.00
08-02 11:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.52$1.00
08-02 00:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.75$1.00
08-02 00:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.75$1.00
08-01 16:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.77$1.00
08-01 02:36Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999699$1.00
07-31 18:34Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 10:33Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00