Gustavefg
0x484528ac35efaf8ec4dcbae870e6acd292a482ee
- Realised P&L
- $22.04
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $71.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming | 0.470 | 1.000 | $26.00 | +$13.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23? · No | 0.650 | 1.000 | $24.00 | +$8.40 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.330 | 0.325 | $21.77 | −$0.34 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.95at 0.500Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$173.81at 0.500Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$14.45at 0.660Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$13.38at 0.510Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
- +$0.07at 0.991Will XRP reach $6.00 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 07:47 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.33 | $22.11 |
| 07-21 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.65 | $15.60 |
| 07-02 11:46 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $12.22 |
| 06-23 07:19 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.66 | $28.05 |
| 05-26 03:06 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $24.97 |
| 05-26 03:05 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? | BUY | 0.51 | $13.92 |
| 05-26 03:04 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.00 |
| 05-21 09:49 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.48 | $22.70 |
| 04-23 11:37 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 04-23 11:36 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 04-14 12:22 | Will Solana dip to $10 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 04-14 12:21 | Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $27.97 |
| 04-14 12:21 | Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 12:21 | Will Solana dip to $10 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 12:21 | Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.00 |