qqmik
0x4834521237245be538ad5b82ba3680605f83fafa
- Realised P&L
- $355.00
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $70.45
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.213 | $13.42 | −$6.58 |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.695 | $10.53 | +$0.53 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.207 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.795 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No | 0.535 | 0.455 | $8.51 | −$1.49 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.255 | $7.30 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.35at 0.307England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$106.62at 0.568Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$49.08at 0.650Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$33.33at 0.750Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$31.76at 0.610Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:18 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3484772622 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.9219999974 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:16 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 17:06 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $11.85 |
| 07-27 17:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.27 |
| 07-25 17:58 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 21:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 22:17 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 22:08 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:29 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:28 | UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:28 | UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:27 | Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:27 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage | BUY | 0.2879840984 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 19:22 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |