PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

qqmik

0x4834521237245be538ad5b82ba3680605f83fafa

Realised P&L
$355.00
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$70.45

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3180.213$13.42$6.58
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.6600.695$10.53+$0.53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.207$10.38+$0.38
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.205$10.25+$0.25
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7900.795$10.06+$0.06
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.5350.455$8.51$1.49
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.3480.255$7.30$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:18Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.3484772622$10.00
08-03 03:17Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.9219999974$10.00
08-03 03:16Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999866$10.00
07-27 17:06Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.83$11.85
07-27 17:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.999$14.27
07-25 17:58Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.2$10.00
07-23 21:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.699999993$10.00
07-21 22:17Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.699999993$10.00
07-21 22:08Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2$10.00
07-21 19:29Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
07-21 19:28UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-21 19:28UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.3399999857$10.00
07-21 19:27Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsBUY0.5199999813$10.00
07-21 19:27Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageBUY0.2879840984$10.00
07-21 19:22Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierBUY0.2399999856$10.00