xiaoqi11
0x47d06433b009051a4cc1451085cabab069509854
- Realised P&L
- $-146.49
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $9.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$9.80at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8?
- +$6.57at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 25?
- +$6.50at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?
- +$3.54at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.54 |
| 08-07 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-07 08:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-07 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-05 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-05 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-04 09:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 09:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |