frogleimv
0x4750acd51992b7f71dd8933c1c2caad6914cb770
- Realised P&L
- $-4.76
- Volume
- $112.00
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $12.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.390 | $7.80 | −$4.00 |
| ChatGPT outage on August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.110 | $2.20 | −$0.20 |
| ChatGPT outage on August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.100 | $2.00 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.96at 0.594Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 20:14 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.46 |
| 08-07 19:44 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.451 | $9.02 |