0x473f8e19a75a45758c557cd20fd59ac6964706db
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $49.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima · Aryna Sabalenka | 0.940 | 1.000 | $531.91 | +$31.92 |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic · Frances Tiafoe | 0.590 | 1.000 | $338.98 | +$138.98 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.565 | $319.75 | +$19.76 |
| National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Casper Ruud | 0.690 | 0.705 | $204.35 | +$4.35 |
| National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz · Taylor Fritz | 0.840 | 0.830 | $197.62 | −$2.38 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.514 | 0.655 | $63.66 | +$13.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.348Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$826.49at 0.457Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$428.38at 0.597Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$414.37at 0.513Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$301.74at 0.710Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:36 | National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.8399915996 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 23:35 | National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.689999999 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 23:32 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilic | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 23:32 | National Bank Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima | BUY | 0.94 | $500.00 |
| 07-20 22:31 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.53 | $300.00 |
| 07-20 22:29 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0989739492 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5123121782 | $652.63 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4566869572 | $694.71 |
| 07-12 16:57 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.6 | $299.31 |
| 07-11 23:12 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 22:50 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6749999992 | $150.00 |
| 07-11 21:31 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1849999992 | $150.00 |
| 07-10 16:38 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $296.07 |
| 07-10 10:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859999993 | $309.97 |