PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x46e284e30c67176d40e6c15f5a80966469508963

Realised P&L
$-43.86
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$2.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.5000.245$0.98$1.02
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1600.155$0.97$0.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2060.188$0.91$0.09
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5160.000$0.00$3.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5440.000$0.00$10.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00$9.00
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$2.00
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5760.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 16:11Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$2.00
07-16 23:05Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$1.00
07-16 23:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
07-15 16:02Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3649998878$2.00
07-14 16:03Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3949998499$1.00
07-14 16:02Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3949998914$2.00
07-14 06:54Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
07-14 06:54Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4074999175$2.00
07-13 16:07Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.412499951$2.00
07-13 16:07Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3649998878$2.00
07-13 02:46Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
07-13 02:46Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.412499951$2.00
07-12 16:15Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
07-11 16:09Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
07-11 16:09Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5799999014$2.00