PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x46B867d4Fd92A48386A768eA9f3b919423658Af2-1780454782233

0x46b867d4fd92a48386a768ea9f3b919423658af2

Realised P&L
$-152.98
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$10.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.1400.115$5.75$1.25
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.1200.052$4.37$5.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5250.000$0.00$18.50
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$2.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 18:40Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?SELL0.43$1.41
06-17 18:34Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
06-17 07:49Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
06-14 16:19Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9419999848$3.34
06-14 03:13Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.999$7.92
06-13 22:28Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
06-13 22:27Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
06-13 21:03Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.05$2.29
06-13 19:10Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.8299999985$38.00
06-13 13:09Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
06-13 02:30Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
06-13 02:29Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5799999818$5.10
06-13 01:21Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.7299999983$22.00
06-12 19:26Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.299999928$2.50
06-12 19:26Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.29999982$1.00