yoloooooo
0x46afacb9d9b395a65f487cb4df3679b54dcccd69
- Realised P&L
- $-961.73
- Volume
- $1.46M
- Markets traded
- 447
- Open portfolio
- $241.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded447
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 6? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $117.41 | −$0.25 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.790 | 0.792 | $79.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $44.84 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.88at 0.262Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$97.68at 0.949Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$83.24at 0.020Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
- +$80.00at 0.200Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$74.29at 0.350Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.91 |
| 08-02 14:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9971525424 | $117.66 |
| 07-30 14:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.93 |
| 07-29 10:39 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $138.84 |
| 07-28 14:24 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $114.89 |
| 07-27 12:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $270.73 |
| 07-26 11:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $370.63 |
| 07-25 12:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.88 |
| 07-19 13:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on July 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 07-15 12:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 20? | BUY | 0.998943662 | $354.63 |
| 07-12 17:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on July 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-11 14:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $134.73 |
| 07-10 16:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9989727273 | $549.44 |
| 07-09 15:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 14? | BUY | 0.9987746479 | $354.57 |
| 07-07 16:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on July 11? | BUY | 0.9976 | $99.76 |