0x469ec34793665e0334c5a044d9a2ef41ac7c54d3
- Realised P&L
- $-13.91
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $66.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.755 | 0.760 | $65.65 | +$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.73at 0.690S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?
- +$126.51at 0.490S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?
- +$76.77at 0.263S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$70.24at 0.143S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?
- +$65.35at 0.701S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 08-05 13:55 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-05 13:55 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-05 13:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-05 13:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-05 13:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-05 13:33 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.62 |
| 08-05 11:28 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.71 |
| 08-05 01:43 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.90 |
| 08-04 14:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.978 | $84.84 |
| 08-04 12:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 08-04 12:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-04 12:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 08-04 10:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 10:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.48 |